Are Financial Aid Offices in Economic Tsunami’s Path?
This post was written by Dave Gruen
October 27, 2008 College Access, Credit Crunch, Economy, Private Loans 13 CommentsA tsunami (from the Japanese word harbor wave) is a series of huge waves caused by an undersea disturbance, such as an earthquake or volcanic eruption. The waves travel in all directions from the area of disturbance, much like the concentric ripples caused by throwing a rock in a pond - except the magnitude of the disturbance and ripples are much, much greater. Tsunami waves can travel in the open sea as fast as 450 miles per hour, but can be almost imperceptible until the waves hit shallow waters where they can rise to 100 feet and smash into the shore causing mass destruction. These are sometimes mistakenly called "tidal waves," but tsunamis have nothing to do with the tides. They are not cyclical or common and are more random.
With this in mind, it seems that we are in for a tsunami of sorts in our offices. Think of the failure of the mortgage industry as the earthquake that has sent concentric ripples throughout the economy. These waves first affected the credit market and are now spreading to affect almost every aspect of the economy from banking to small businesses to families and their ability to pay for college. At my office, we are starting to see the beginning swells of potential tsunami waves reaching our shores.
There is growing anxiety - fueled by the national media - about the availability of financial aid funds. This is especially acute for alternative loans as more lenders seem unable to provide these funds. Fortunately, Congress has been quick to pass legislation to aid the lack of liquidity in FFELP and a $6 billion shortfall in the Pell Grant program, but anxiety about financial aid remains as the demand increases.
More students and parents are inquiring about financial aid and some parents are receiving pink slips. As a result, we’re beginning to see increases in the number in professional judgment appeals. I am especially concerned that appeals for the 2009-10 school year will go through the roof compared to the slight increase we are seeing now. I’m also concerned that funding for financial aid funding will be strained as institutions, states and the federal government struggle with dwindling resources at the same time that the demand for aid increases.
So put on your life jackets and leave a comment about what you are experiencing in your offices. Are you doing anything to prepare for the possible tsunami? NASFAA needs your input to represent the financial aid needs of students and develop solutions to ensure families get the financial aid they need.

